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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jets.

At a mere 27.18 seconds per play, the New York Jets offense profiles as the 10th-fastest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may go down.

In this game, Tyler Conklin is predicted by the predictive model to position himself in the 81st percentile among TEs with 5.1 targets.

When it comes to air yards, Tyler Conklin ranks in the lofty 91st percentile among TEs this year, totaling a staggering 40.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

The Jets O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

This year, the daunting Commanders defense has allowed a puny 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.15 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

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