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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Tyler Conklin to notch 6.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among TEs.

Tyler Conklin has compiled quite a few more air yards this year (49.0 per game) than he did last year (29.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Buffalo Bills defense has yielded the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 39.0) versus tight ends this year.

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus TEs this year, giving up 6.10 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in football.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers rank as the best LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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