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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The New York Jets offense has played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 26.56 seconds per play.

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Tyler Conklin to earn 5.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.

Tyler Conklin has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 15.7% this year, which ranks in the 87th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

The New England Patriots defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 32.0) versus TEs this year.

The New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.6%) vs. TEs this year (64.6%).

The New England Patriots pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. TEs this year, allowing 6.62 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the NFL.

The New England Patriots defensive ends grade out as the 4th-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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