Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Tyler Conklin

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Conklin

TE · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The New York Jets have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 69.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 8th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Conklin to accrue 5.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.
Tyler Conklin has accrued a colossal 30.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 11th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Tyler Conklin has been a more important option in his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 85.5% of snaps vs just 73.3% last year.
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.61 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in the league.
The Miami Dolphins defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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