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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The Jets rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 67.9% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Tyler Conklin to notch 5.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.

Tyler Conklin has accrued a monstrous 28.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.

Tyler Conklin has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 89.7% of snaps vs just 89.7% last season.

The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has conceded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 41.0) versus TEs since the start of last season.

The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

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