Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Tyler Conklin

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Conklin

TE · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 2:55 AM EST

Analysis

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Conklin to earn 4.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among TEs.
Tyler Conklin has been heavily involved in his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 15.5% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.
Tyler Conklin has accumulated a whopping 28.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 81st percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Tyler Conklin's receiving effectiveness has declined this season, notching a measly 3.97 yards-per-target vs a 7.01 figure last season.
The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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