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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cincinnati Bengals may pass less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling with backup quarterback Jake Browning.

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 6th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

With a top-tier 88.6% Route Participation Rate (83rd percentile) this year, Tyler Boyd has been among the WRs with the highest volume in football.

In this game, Tyler Boyd is projected by the projection model to position himself in the 75th percentile among wideouts with 6.5 targets.

With an impressive 4.2 adjusted receptions per game (77th percentile) this year, Tyler Boyd has been as one of the top WRs in the game in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

The predictive model expects the Bengals offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.21 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Steelers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 34.1 per game) this year.

This year, the stout Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered a feeble 62.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.

The Steelers linebackers rank as the 10th-best unit in football this year in defending receivers.

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