Tyler Boyd Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+107/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup quarterback Joe Burrow in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Tyler Boyd has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing a stellar 73.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks project as the 10th-best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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