Tyler Boyd Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+124/-158).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Tyler Boyd has been a much smaller part of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for just 62.9% of snaps compared to 76.1% last year.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
Tyler Boyd's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 76.7% to 70.8%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.2%) versus wideouts this year (64.2%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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