Tyler Boyd Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-113/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 67.2% pass rate.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
Tyler Boyd has run a route on 91.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among WRs.
The Cleveland Browns safeties grade out as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Tyler Boyd's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 76.7% to 72.1%.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has given their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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