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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

With an impressive 72.0% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) this year, Tyler Boyd rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to wide receivers.

This year, the poor Bengals defense has surrendered a massive 163.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 8th-most in the NFL.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.65 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (58.9% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Tennessee Titans.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are predicted by the model to call just 63.4 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Tyler Boyd has been used less as a potential target this season (73.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (87.6%).

After averaging 42.0 air yards per game last year, Tyler Boyd has produced significantly less this year, currently boasting 26.0 per game.

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