Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 68.1% of their opportunities: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
Tyler Boyd has run a route on 91.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
With a stellar 75.8% Adjusted Catch% (87th percentile) this year, Tyler Boyd ranks among the best possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to wideouts.
Favors Under
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run just 60.1 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
Tyler Boyd has notched far fewer air yards this season (37.0 per game) than he did last season (47.0 per game).
Tyler Boyd has accrued significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (48.0).
Tyler Boyd's 5.6 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a material diminishment in his receiving skills over last season's 9.7 mark.
This year, the stout San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a meager 7.6 yards.