Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.8 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 42.2 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
With an elite 90.2% Route Participation% (85th percentile) this year, Tyler Boyd places as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
This year, the shaky Seahawks defense has been torched for a whopping 219.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 2nd-worst in football.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
Tyler Boyd has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (41.0 per game) than he did last year (47.0 per game).
Tyler Boyd's 34.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year conveys a a noteable decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 48.0 rate.
Tyler Boyd's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 73.6% to 69.3%.
Tyler Boyd's 5.3 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a a noteable decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season's 9.7 mark.

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