Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 26, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Tyler Boyd's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Completion% increasing from 73.6% to 79.1%.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered the highest Completion% in the NFL (70.1%) to WRs since the start of last season (70.1%).
The Los Angeles Rams cornerbacks project as the worst CB corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Tyler Boyd's receiving efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling a measly 6.29 yards-per-target compared to a 9.66 mark last year.

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