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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals may pass less in this contest (and call more carries) given that they be forced to use backup QB Jake Browning.

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 66.8% pass rate.

The model projects the Bengals to run the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, Tyler Boyd is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 5.7 targets.

Tyler Boyd ranks as one of the best possession receivers in the league, catching a fantastic 74.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased ground volume.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

Tyler Boyd has been a more important option in his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 79.7% of snaps compared to just 63.1% last year.

After totaling 47.0 air yards per game last season, Tyler Boyd has seen a big downtick this season, now sitting at 42.0 per game.

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