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Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-120).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Cincinnati Bengals may pass less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling with backup quarterback Jake Browning.The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 6th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.With a top-tier 88.6% Route Participation Rate (83rd percentile) this year, Tyler Boyd has been among the WRs with the highest volume in football.In this game, Tyler Boyd is projected by the projection model to position himself in the 75th percentile among wideouts with 6.5 targets.Tyler Boyd comes in as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching a terrific 73.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.The predictive model expects the Bengals offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.21 seconds per snap.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Steelers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 34.1 per game) this year.Tyler Boyd's pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this season, notching just 6.97 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.66 mark last season.This year, the stout Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered a feeble 62.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.
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