Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-120/-110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Cincinnati Bengals may throw the ball less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) because they be starting backup QB Jake Browning.
At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league (66.9% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 138.0 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
Tyler Boyd's 41.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 34.3.
With an excellent 72.7% Adjusted Completion Rate (84th percentile) this year, Tyler Boyd ranks as one of the best possession receivers in football when it comes to wide receivers.
Favors Under
A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a measly 56.2 per game on average).
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.0 per game) this year.
In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year.
Tyler Boyd's pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this season, totaling a mere 6.56 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.66 figure last season.