Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 63.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 67.3% pass rate.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 64.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Boyd to earn 7.8 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Boyd to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing game this week (21.7% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.6% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: least in the league.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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