Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Tyler Boyd has put up significantly more air yards this season (47.0 per game) than he did last season (42.0 per game).
Tyler Boyd's talent in picking up extra yardage have gotten better this year, notching 7.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 5.34 rate last year.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Completion% in football (67.8%) to WRs this year (67.8%).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.51 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
Tyler Boyd has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass game this season (12.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (17.5%).
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

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