Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Tyler Boyd has been a much smaller part of his team's offense this season, playing on just 63.1% of snaps compared to 76.1% last season.

Favors Under

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Tyler Boyd's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 76.7% to 73.7%.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.08 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the NFL.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers project as the best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has afforded their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

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