Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-102/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Tyler Boyd has been a much smaller part of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for just 62.9% of snaps compared to 76.1% last year.
Tyler Boyd has notched far more air yards this season (52.0 per game) than he did last season (38.0 per game).
Tyler Boyd's receiving effectiveness has gotten better this year, totaling 9.87 yards-per-target vs a measly 8.35 rate last year.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
Tyler Boyd's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 76.7% to 70.8%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.2%) versus wideouts this year (64.2%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against wide receivers this year, surrendering 7.57 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the NFL.

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