Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyler Boyd has run a route on 88.1% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 81st percentile among wide receivers.
Tyler Boyd has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a terrific 76.7% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile among wideouts.
Tyler Boyd has been among the top wide receivers in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 5.34 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 86th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.44 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 10th-most in football.
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties rank as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.80 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.