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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the 7th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the league (128 per game) against the Commanders defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Falcons offense has played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 29.43 seconds per play.

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

Tyler Allgeier's 28.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season represents a noteworthy decrease in his rushing talent over last season's 38.0 figure.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Washington's unit has been great since the start of last season, grading out as the best in football.

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