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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to run on 48.9% of their chances: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Tyler Allgeier's running efficiency has gotten better this season, totaling 4.65 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 3.62 figure last season.

Tyler Allgeier is positioned as one of the best running backs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 3.62 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 94th percentile.

This year, the deficient Commanders run defense has given up a massive 132.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 8th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 63.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.

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