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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Atlanta Falcons vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Falcons being a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Falcons to run on 50.3% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offense has played at the 8th-quickest pace in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.94 seconds per play.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 4.9 adjusted yards per carry this year illustrates an impressive improvement in his running proficiency over last year's 3.6 mark.
  • Tyler Allgeier profiles as one of the best RBs in football at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging an excellent 3.78 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 94th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New York's collection of DTs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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