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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

Tyler Allgeier's rushing effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, totaling 4.84 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 3.62 mark last season.

Tyler Allgeier comes in as one of the best RBs in football at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging an excellent 3.67 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 94th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -6-point underdog in this week's contest.

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons as the 8th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

This year, the formidable Vikings run defense has surrendered a meager 77.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the best in football.

The Vikings safeties project as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the league this year with their run defense.

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