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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 9th-most run-centric team in the league (41.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Falcons.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Tyler Allgeier's running effectiveness has improved this year, averaging 5.10 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 3.62 figure last year.

Tyler Allgeier grades out as one of the best running backs in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging an outstanding 3.88 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 97th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may go down.

This year, the deficient Broncos run defense has given up a massive 3.99 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's ground game: the 27th-highest rate in the league.

The Denver Broncos linebackers rank as the 5th-best unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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