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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.

Right now, the 9th-most run-oriented team in football (41.1% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Falcons.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see 134.3 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.

Tyler Allgeier's 5.0 adjusted yards per carry this year represents a noteable gain in his running prowess over last year's 3.6 mark.

Tyler Allgeier's 3.96 yards-after-contact this season indicates a significant progression in his running skills over last season's 2.95 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

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