Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The leading projections forecast the Falcons as the 4th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 46.6% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Falcons have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.0 plays per game.
Tyler Allgeier has received 43.6% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.

Favors Under

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
Tyler Allgeier's 41.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year represents a material regression in his running ability over last year's 65.0 figure.
Tyler Allgeier's 3.2 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a substantial decline in his rushing talent over last year's 5.0 mark.
The Minnesota Vikings defense boasts the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 3.76 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
The Vikings defensive tackles project as the 4th-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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