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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 130.4 plays on offense run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • Tyler Allgeier has garnered 39.8% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
  • The Falcons O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Houston's group of DTs has been lousy this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Tyler Allgeier has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (65.0).
  • Tyler Allgeier's 3.2 adjusted yards per carry this season illustrates a a substantial reduction in his running prowess over last season's 5.0 mark.

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