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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to run on 50.9% of their plays: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The model projects the Falcons offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.58 seconds per snap.

Among all running backs, Tyler Allgeier grades out in the 75th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 37.5% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

When it comes to blocking for rushers (and the significance it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 2nd-best in the league last year.

The Bears defensive ends project as the 3rd-worst group of DEs in football this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Allgeier's 43.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season indicates a remarkable decline in his running ability over last season's 65.0 mark.

Tyler Allgeier's 3.7 adjusted yards per carry this year represents an impressive decline in his running prowess over last year's 5.0 figure.

This year, the formidable Bears run defense has surrendered a meager 81.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the fewest in football.

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