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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to run on 48.5% of their downs: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Among all running backs, Tyler Allgeier grades out in the 76th percentile for carries this year, comprising 38.1% of the workload in his team's run game.

When talking about opening holes for runners (and the importance it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 2nd-best in football last year.

This year, the porous Indianapolis Colts run defense has been gouged for a colossal 131.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 5th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Tyler Allgeier's 41.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season illustrates a substantial decrease in his running ability over last season's 65.0 figure.

Tyler Allgeier's 3.5 adjusted yards per carry this season represents a noteworthy reduction in his rushing ability over last season's 5.0 rate.

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