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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Falcons to run on 50.2% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Falcons are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 66.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most among all teams this week.
  • The Falcons have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 30.5% Snap% this season represents a meaningful diminishment in his offensive volume over last season's 51.1% rate.
  • When talking about opening holes for runners (and the significance it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 2nd-best in the league last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Tyler Allgeier has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (43.0) this year than he did last year (65.0).
  • Tyler Allgeier's 3.5 adjusted yards per carry this year conveys a substantial reduction in his running prowess over last year's 5.0 rate.
  • The New York Jets linebackers rank as the 7th-best collection of LBs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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