Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Falcons to run on 50.2% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Falcons are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 66.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most among all teams this week.
The Falcons have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
Tyler Allgeier's 30.5% Snap% this season represents a meaningful diminishment in his offensive volume over last season's 51.1% rate.
When talking about opening holes for runners (and the significance it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 2nd-best in the league last year.

Favors Under

Tyler Allgeier has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (43.0) this year than he did last year (65.0).
Tyler Allgeier's 3.5 adjusted yards per carry this year conveys a substantial reduction in his running prowess over last year's 5.0 rate.
The New York Jets linebackers rank as the 7th-best collection of LBs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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