Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (+110/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
The Atlanta Falcons have utilized some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have rushed for the least yards in football (just 68 per game) versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.

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