Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year at run-game blocking.
The Atlanta Falcons have utilized some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.8 plays per game.
Opposing teams have run for the 6th-least yards in the NFL (just 103 per game) versus the Washington Commanders defense this year.
The Washington Commanders safeties grade out as the best safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

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