My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

Tyler Allgeier Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may go down.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

Tyler Allgeier's 100.0% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a noteworthy progression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 79.8% rate.

This year, the poor Broncos pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 87.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 6th-biggest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.6% pass rate.

Tyler Allgeier has run a route on 17.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 23rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Tyler Allgeier checks in as one of the worst pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a measly 0.8 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 18th percentile among RBs.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Denver's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

More Tyler Allgeier Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™