This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 3.5 points.The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Tyler Allgeier has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (20.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (39.1%).Tyler Allgeier's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 93.7% to 74.1%.As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Minnesota's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.
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