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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

Tyler Allgeier Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Falcons are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 66.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most among all teams this week.

The Falcons have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.

The Falcons offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

Tyler Allgeier has gone out for fewer passes this year (20.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (39.1%).

Tyler Allgeier's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 93.8% to 71.3%.

As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's LB corps has been great this year, ranking as the best in the league.

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