My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may go down.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

Tyler Allgeier's 100.0% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a noteworthy progression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 79.8% rate.

The Denver Broncos defense has conceded the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (41.0) vs. RBs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.6% pass rate.

Tyler Allgeier has run a route on 17.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 23rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

With a poor 5.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (15th percentile) this year, Tyler Allgeier rates as one of the bottom running backs in the pass game in football.

Tyler Allgeier's 6.62 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a substantial diminishment in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 10.8% figure.

More Tyler Allgeier Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™