Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 2:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Washington's group of LBs has been very bad this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Tyler Allgeier's 25.5% Route Participation% this season illustrates a a noteable diminishment in his passing game workload over last season's 39.1% mark.
In regards to air yards, Tyler Allgeier grades out in just the 22nd percentile among RBs this year, with just -2.0 per game.
Tyler Allgeier's 64.3% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a a substantial reduction in his pass-catching talent over last season's 93.7% mark.

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