Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+130/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Atlanta Falcons have utilized some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
Tyler Allgeier has totaled a measly -1.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 22nd percentile among RBs.
Tyler Allgeier has been among the worst pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a measly 6.0 yards per game while checking in at the 25th percentile among RBs.

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