Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 11, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+150/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Tyler Allgeier has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football among RBs, hauling in an impressive 100.0% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 100th percentile.
Tyler Allgeier has been among the most effective pass-catchers in football among running backs, averaging a terrific 14.67 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 99th percentile.
The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 6th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (42.0) vs. running backs this year.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has shown bad efficiency vs. RBs this year, giving up 7.19 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in football.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.7 plays per game.
Tyler Allgeier has accrued a mere -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 21st percentile among running backs.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line has given their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.