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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

Tyler Allgeier Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -154 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to run on 48.9% of their chances: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The Washington Commanders defensive tackles project as the 6th-worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 63.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.

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