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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons

Tyler Allgeier Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-118/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Falcons as the 5th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 47.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Falcons to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Tyler Allgeier has earned 41.9% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile among running backs.

The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

The Falcons have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.8 plays per game.

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