Tyler Allgeier Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 7:21 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Tyler Allgeier has played on 50.8% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense as the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.50 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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