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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons

Tyler Allgeier Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Tyler Allgeier has played on 50.8% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense as the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.50 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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