Tyler Allgeier Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Carries

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 46.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Falcons this year (a colossal 62.0 per game on average).
Out of all RBs, Tyler Allgeier grades out in the 81st percentile for carries this year, making up 43.5% of the workload in his offense's running game.
The Atlanta offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in football last year at executing run-blocking assingments.

Favors Under

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

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