Tyler Allgeier Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Carries

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in run blocking.
The Chicago Bears defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of DEs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Atlanta Falcons have been faced with a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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