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Tylan Wallace

Tylan Wallace Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Tylan Wallace Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tylan Wallace to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass game in this contest (9.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.1% in games he has played).
  • With a stellar 92.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (90th percentile) this year, Tylan Wallace has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to WRs.
  • This year, the feeble Buffalo Bills pass defense has been torched for a massive 70.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the biggest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Buffalo's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 49.1% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • With a puny 1.2 adjusted catches per game (13th percentile) this year, Tylan Wallace places as one of the weakest WRs in the game in the league.

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