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Tylan Wallace

Tylan Wallace Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Tylan Wallace Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+148/-196).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +154 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Tylan Wallace to be much more involved in his offense's pass game in this contest (8.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (2.7% in games he has played).

Tylan Wallace ranks as one of the most reliable receivers in the league, catching an outstanding 92.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 90th percentile among wideouts.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's group of CBs has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.

The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Baltimore Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.5 plays per game.

Tylan Wallace ranks as one of the worst WRs in the game this year, averaging a mere 1.4 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 17th percentile among wide receivers.

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