Tylan Wallace Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Tylan Wallace

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 12:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Tylan Wallace Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-151).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -151.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.5% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
Tylan Wallace has accrued significantly more air yards this season (10.0 per game) than he did last season (4.0 per game).
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 2nd-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Baltimore Ravens have used play action on 29.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (8th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.2 plays per game.
Tylan Wallace has been been lightly used his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of just 1.8% this year, which puts him in the 7th percentile among WRs.
Tylan Wallace has been among the weakest WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 6.0 yards per game while grading out in the 8th percentile among WRs.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus WRs this year, allowing 7.87 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the league.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.33 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the NFL.